Oil inventories remain low, but recession fears leading to price declines continue to permeate the market.

How did 2023’s economic and market predictions turn out?

Predictions are often made but their accuracy never evaluated, yet this is an important step

For the past seven years in my newsletter, I have made annual “Fearless Predictions.” I also summarize predictions from the investment industry. The last chapter of my book, titled “If I claim to be a wise man…it surely means that I don’t know,” launched my annual prediction exercise, largely to poke fun at the process. […] Read more


Several reasons exist for the recent divergence between our two interconnected economies.

The tale of two economies

Strong energy prices would normally lead to a strong Canadian currency

U.S. third-quarter GDP (gross domestic product) grew at an annualized rate of 4.9 per cent. This followed second-quarter growth of 2.1 and first-quarter of 1.1 per cent. Rather than the widely predicted recession, the U.S has experienced accelerating growth. Canada, on the other hand, is flatlining, with first-quarter growth of 0.8 per cent, second-quarter at […] Read more

Photo: WTO

China calls for overhaul of farm subsidy rules under WTO

Beijing | Reuters – China on Thursday called for the removal of “enormous” farm subsidies in some developed countries as part of Beijing’s push for reform of the World Trade Organization. “There are very unfair rules in the agriculture sector, and enormous subsidies some developed country members are entitled to, that severely distort international agricultural trade,” Wang […] Read more


After a sustained period of uncertainty, economists predict the world economy is primed for strong growth.

Editor’s Column: Economic outlook offers lots of positive news, some challenges, loads of optimism

It’s been about a year and a half since the COVID-19 pandemic and the restrictions aimed to contain it caused what Aaron Goertzen calls the “deepest and fastest recession in modern economic history.” Goertzen is the senior economist and director of BMO Financial Group. Fortunately, we’re now in the recovery phase. “The labour market has […] Read more