If world crop conditions look good and the weather behaves, commodity buyers will likely wait to see how the crop progresses before pre-buying.

World grain production, weather markets and trade disputes

Production and weather concerns and bullish, but trade patterns are not on our side

In April the International Grains Council (ICG) estimated world grain production in 2019-20 would increase two per cent over last year to 2.18 billion tonnes. Their estimate for total consumption (food, feed and industrial use) is 2.20 billion tonnes. The math suggests that demand will outpace production, meaning the supply carried forward will be drawn down for a third consecutive year. The ICG estimates world carry out […] Read more

All of Canada’s grain farmers have taken a financial hit in some way due to the trade war between United States and China.

How the farm sector can mitigate losses from global trade wars

APAS proposes a federally funded Trade Mitigation Program for Canadian grain farmers

The Agricultural Producers Association of Saskatchewan (APAS) has become increasingly concerned about global trade action. The Canadian grain industry is an export oriented, trade-exposed sector. All Canadian grain farmers have been financially hurt by the current “Trump/China Trade War.” China has targeted Canadian canola and soybean exports, but trade action is affecting other commodities as […] Read more





Unless the U.S. ethanol industry is reborn to consume and offset the anticipated increase in corn production from extra seeded acres, there will be more feed corn available for sale and the closest market is western Canadian feedlots.

The impact of 2018’s big events on agriculture

Several developments in 2018 will impact the future, and grain markets, for years to come

Many things happened in 2018 that history may eventually define as the events that influenced a major shift in the course of history or world commerce. Here are some events I think fall into that realm. Global politics The battle of words and show of force between the U.S. and North Korea over nuclear armament. […] Read more

Photo: File

Stalled farm bill could move fast after Democrat House win

Washington | Reuters – Congress may swiftly resolve a drawn-out impasse on the U.S. Farm Bill now that Democrats are poised to retake control of the legislative body, the top Democrat on the House Agriculture Committee said on Wednesday. Collin Peterson, ranking member and presumptive new chair of committee, said passing the crucial agricultural legislation was going […] Read more



Prime Minister Justin Trudeau speaks at a press conference June 9, 2018 at the G7 summit in Charlevoix, Que. (G7.gc.ca via Flickr)

Trudeau vows to impose carbon tax, opponents push back

Ottawa | Reuters – Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau on Tuesday said he would fulfill a promise to impose a carbon tax on provinces unwilling to combat climate change, prompting instant protests from a voter-rich part of the country. Trudeau, whose ruling Liberals face an election in October 2019, told a news conference that all the money […] Read more


Quebec Premier Philippe Couillard attends a joint news conference with French President Emmanuel Macron after a meeting at the Elysee Palace in Paris, France March 5, 2018.  Photo: REUTERS/Gonzalo Fuentes

Tariff relief for Canada’s farmers at issue in Quebec election

Montreal |Reuters – Quebec farmers want further relief from a global tariff dispute ahead of Oct. 1 elections in the mostly French-speaking Canadian province, which has seen a recent rise in nationalist sentiment. Quebec’s ruling Liberals, centrists but separate from the federal Liberal party, launched their campaign on Thursday. They trail in polls behind the center-right Coalition Avenir Quebec […] Read more

Reporter’s Notebook: Where’s our federal ag minister?

From taxation to transportation, there’s a lack of understanding of agriculture showing

Some days, you really have to wonder where our federal ag minister is at. Last year, the federal Liberals attempted to roll out tax reforms that raised the hackles of many in the ag sector. The proposed changes to capital gains exemptions seemed likely to threaten many producers’ abilities to pass the operation to their […] Read more