“Pods can look dramatically different, either riper or less ripe, than the actual seeds, so we need to be cracking open those pods and looking at the seeds.”
 Photo: Greg Berg

ICE weekly outlook: Canola following soyoil’s lead

Stat Can's principal field crop estimates will be released on Aug. 29, may affect prices

MarketsFarm – The November canola contract rose above the C$800 per tonne mark for the first time in nearly a month during the week ended Aug. 23. However, it wasn’t without some turbulence over the last two days of trading. On Aug. 22, the November contract lost C$13.40 per tonne to close at $796.00, before […] Read more

Photo: Getty Images

USDA June soybean crush seen at 175.5 million bushels

If estimate realized, would be smallest monthly crush since September

Chicago | Reuters – U.S. soy processors likely crushed 5.265 million short tons of soybeans, or 175.5 million bushels, in June, according to the average forecast of eight analysts surveyed by Reuters ahead of a monthly U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) report. If the estimate is realized, it would be down from the 189.3 million […] Read more


ICE July 2023 canola with 20-day moving average (yellow line, right scale) and CBOT July 2023 soybean oil (dark green line, left scale). (Barchart)

ICE weekly outlook: Canola market rising into summer

New StatCan acreage estimates out next week

MarketsFarm — ICE Futures canola contracts have climbed steadily higher since their late-May lows, nearing chart resistance to the upside on the first day of summer. Updated renewable fuel targets released by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency failed to live up to expectations, sparking a speculative selloff in soyoil. While the limit-down move in soyoil […] Read more

ICE July 2023 canola with 20-day moving average and November 2023 canola (yellow line). (Barchart)

ICE weekly outlook: Unclear where canola wants to go

Soy complex's trend much more apparent

MarketsFarm — While the ICE Futures canola market declined during the week ended Wednesday, the oilseed has been affected by a mixture of supports and pressures, according to commodities futures advisor David Derwin of PI Financial in Winnipeg. The July canola contract dropped $20.60 per tonne during the week to close at $714.10 on Wednesday, […] Read more


ICE March 2023 canola with 20-day moving average (yellow line, right column) and Canadian dollar value in U.S. dollars (red line, left column). (Barchart)

ICE weekly outlook: March canola unchanged from last week

Loonie's relative strength seen as drag on values

MarketsFarm — The ICE Futures canola market was once again trading rangebound for the week ended Wednesday, as the March contract was left unchanged from one week earlier at $828.20. The contract oscillated between a range of $819.40 and $837 per tonne during the week, all the while seemingly immune from larger price ranges seen […] Read more



The skeleton of a fish is seen in the Navarro lagoon, which dried up due to the climate phenomenon La Nina, in Navarro in Argentina’s Buenos Aires province on Dec. 5, 2022. (File photo: Reuters/Agustin Marcarian)

Worst drought in decades sees Argentina exchange slash soy, corn forecasts

Buenos Aires | Reuters — Argentina’s Rosario Grains exchange sharply cut its forecast for the 2022-23 soybean harvest to 37 million tonnes from a previous forecast of 49 million, it said on Wednesday, as the country faces its worst drought in 60 years. The exchange also slashed its 2022-23 corn harvest estimate to around 45 […] Read more

(Greg Berg photo)

CBOT weekly outlook: Soy futures find support, but upside limited

Corn activity mainly bearish

MarketsFarm — Solid export demand, a short squeeze by fund traders and production uncertainty in South America have all propped up Chicago soybean futures over the past week, with more gains possible ahead of the year-end before correcting lower, according to an analyst. With the South American harvest still some time away, “you might have […] Read more


ICE January 2023 canola with 20-, 50- and 100-day moving averages. (Barchart)

ICE weekly outlook: Canola still rangebound but upside possible

Crush margins expected to stay high for now

MarketsFarm — The ICE Futures canola market traded within a certain range for the week ended Wednesday, but one trader believes that wide crush margins will take prices over the psychological resistance level. Since nearly hitting the $900 per tonne mark on Nov. 15, the January canola contract declined for eight straight sessions before going […] Read more

ICE November 2022 canola (candlesticks, right column) with 20- and 50-day moving averages (yellow and green lines) and CBOT December 2022 soyoil (black line, left column). (Barchart)

ICE weekly outlook: Canola could take a nosedive

'I think (farmers) are undersold'

MarketsFarm — A huge drop in canola prices could be looming, according to analyst Wayne Palmer of Exceed Grain in Winnipeg. Palmer pointed to Prairie farmers and said, “I think they are undersold.” He surmised too many farmers have held off from selling their canola, in hopes of getting a great price the next time […] Read more