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Opinions divided ahead of StatCan production report

Agency's previous estimates model-based

MarketsFarm — Ahead of the crop production report from Statistics Canada (StatCan) due out Friday, trade expectations are above and below what the federal agency estimated in September. In August, and in September, StatCan issued production reports based on a satellite model and without any input from farmers filling out surveys. That has caused some […] Read more

One Canada Square (tower at centre) houses the London head office of the International Grains Council. (Iliffd/iStock/Getty Images)

Global wheat production rises, corn drops

IGC sees only slight changes in soy crop

MarketsFarm — The International Grains Council (IGC) in London raised its estimate of total world grain production for 2022-23 from its August report, with most of the increases coming in wheat. Overall, the IGC projected total production to reach 2.256 billion tonnes, adding eight million from last month. Most of that came from higher harvest […] Read more


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Production, ending stocks down for U.S. corn, soybeans

Worldwide soy, corn stocks also revised lower

MarketsFarm — Projected cuts to soybean production and yields in the United States exceeded many analysts’ expectations, but the monthly U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) estimates for corn were mostly in line with pre-report expectations. USDA released its monthly world agriculture supply and demand estimates (WASDE) on Monday, which showed downward revisions for average yield […] Read more

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Ending stocks tumble due to drought: StatCan

Canola stocks are below 'pipeline levels'

MarketsFarm — Severe drought in Western Canada during the summer of 2021 has played a major part in reducing the stocks for Canada’s principal field crops at the end of the 2021-22 marketing year, according to Statistics Canada. Canada’s central data agency released a report Wednesday presenting total ending stocks for the country’s major crops […] Read more



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Greater crop production estimated prior to StatCan report

Extended time lag between survey, data's release criticized

MarketsFarm — Analysts are expecting Canadian crop production totals for the 2022-23 marketing year to be substantially higher compared to drought-stricken 2021-22, but still not enough to fully replenish supplies. Statistics Canada (StatCan) will publish its first satellite image model-based yield and production estimates for principal field crops on Monday. Traders and analysts are interested […] Read more


ICE November 2022 canola (candlesticks) with Bollinger bands (20,2) and 100-day moving average (green line). (Barchart)

ICE weekly outlook: Time gap too large in StatCan report

Canola's potential yields shrank in meantime

MarketsFarm — There has been about a one-month gap in between Statistics Canada having gathered its data for next week’s principal crops report and actually releasing the report. That’s something trader Ken Ball of PI Financial in Winnipeg finds irksome. “They’re using computer models of some kind. You would think they could get this out […] Read more

(Dave Bedard photo)

AAFC raises wheat, canola production estimates

Ending stocks outlook mixed

MarketsFarm — Canadian wheat and canola production are both expected to come in above earlier expectations in updated supply/demand projections from Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada, released Thursday. However, while wheat stocks are also expected to rise, the canola carryout was revised lower due to expected increases in exports and domestic usage. The government agency raised […] Read more


(Dave Bedard photo)

Adjustments minor in latest AAFC crop balance sheets

MarketsFarm — Only minor adjustments to the old- and new-crop balance sheets were reported by Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada in their February supply/demand report, released Friday. New-crop production estimates were left unchanged for all of the major grains, oilseeds and pulses, with a return to average yields across the Prairies expected to lead to increased […] Read more