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The cycles within economic cycles

Investing for Fun and Profit: The economic cycle, presidential cycle and stock market cycle are separate entities that interact

The S&P 500 — the market I’ll be referencing throughout this article — has been on a tear the past couple of years, leading many to wonder if the hot bull market can continue. It was up 26.3 per cent in 2023 and at time of writing is up about 23 per cent year-to-date. Let’s […] Read more


Wheat stocks in major exporting nations are not considered burdensome and are rather seen to have become relatively tight.

Markets continue to push lower

Risk premiums created by Russia's invasion of Ukraine have evaporated

Market sentiment remains bearish for most agricultural commodities, including the major crops grown in Western Canada. Prices have been declining in most markets since the recent highs were set at the beginning of the Russian invasion of Ukraine in 2022. Markets have gradually adjusted to the news coming from the conflict and has effectively removed […] Read more



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CBOT weekly outlook: Bearish picture for commodities

Prices may not go much lower given the commodities have hit contract lows, says analyst

Ahead of the United States Department of Agriculture Outlook Forum, analyst Bryan Strommen of Progressive Ag in Fargo, N.D. painted a rather bearish picture for the commodity markets. However, he noted that prices might not go much lower given the commodities have hit contract lows.






ICE March 2024 canola as of Dec. 8, 2023, with 20-, 50- and 100-day moving averages. (Barchart)

ICE weekly outlook: Canola likely to keep sliding back 

With larger crop, trade likely to be overwhelmed by deliveries, analyst says

There is a rather significant bearish outlook for canola for the rest of December, according to Jerry Klassen of Resilient Commodity Analysis. He said a large part of this was generated by the Statistics Canada production report released on Dec. 4. 

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Prairie cash wheat: durum soars as red spring falls back

Steep increases following Russian attacks on Ukrainian ports were gone by mid-week

MarketsFarm – There were sharp increases in durum across Western Canada for the week ended July 27, while spring wheat incurred small to moderate declines. There were gains in Minneapolis spring wheat, while Kansas City and Chicago winter wheat contracts slipped back. At the beginning of the week there were steep increases for wheat as […] Read more