Klassen: Feeder cattle outlook remains positive

Published: November 29, 2011

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Western Canadian feeder cattle prices were $2-$4 per hundredweight (cwt) lower on average last week.

Run-of-the-mill red and black large-framed heifers averaging 638 pounds with no special qualities sold for $138/cwt landed in southern Alberta. Red and black Angus steers averaging 600 lbs. sold for $147/cwt in central Alberta. Simmental-red Angus fancy large-framed steer calves averaging 580 lbs. sold for $159 in the Peace River region.

Fed cattle in Alberta reached up to $118, with stronger buying interest from U.S. packers.

U.S. feeder markets were $3-$5/cwt higher. A group of steers in Nebraska averaging 706 lbs. sold for $159/cwt; a mixed blend of 650-lb. heifers brought back $159. The U.S. Department of Agriculture reported top quality 8-weight steers averaging 852 pounds sold for $147 in Oklahoma.

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Notice that the western Canadian market is trading at a sharp discount to U.S. values, which should cause feeder exports to increase during December. End-of-year tax buying is coming forward and feedlots are experiencing positive margins; therefore, feeder cattle prices could strengthen by $5-$10 higher over the next month. Barley prices remain firm but world feedgrain and corn prices are expected to trend lower, longer-term.

U.S. third-quarter gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of two per cent compared to the second quarter, which shows the economy is in an expansionary phase. U.S. at-home food spending has been running 14 per cent above last year, reflecting the stronger demand. Choice wholesale beef prices made new highs last week, causing packing margins to improve.

About the author

Jerry Klassen

Jerry Klassen

Columnist

Jerry Klassen writes market analysis for feedlot operators and cattle producers. For more info or to subscribe call 204-504-8339 or visit resilcapital.com.

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