AAFC sees less wheat, more canola acres

(Resource News International) — Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada has revised downward what Canadian farmers will seed to all wheat and durum in the spring of 2009 from its January projection, according to an updated acreage outlook from AAFC’s market analysis branch.

AAFC’s record canola area forecast in January was bumped even higher.

In its second look at what Canadian producers are planning on putting into the ground during the 2009-10 crop year, the market analysis branch pegged seeded area to all wheat at 23.237 million acres, with durum accounting for 4.942 million acres of that amount.

All wheat area in January was put at 23.895 million acres while durum was initially estimated at 5.609 million acres.

Farmers in Canada seeded 25.009 million acres to all wheat in the spring of 2008, with 6.03 million consisting of durum.

Seeded area to canola, meanwhile, was expected to jump to a record 17.235 million acres in the spring of 2009. This surpasses the January forecast of a record 16.802 million acres and compares with the record 16.159 million seeded in 2008.

The area seeded to barley was seen declining slightly to 9.353 million acres ,which would compare with 9.674 million projected in January. In 2008, seeded area to barley totalled 9.357 million acres.

Oats area was also forecast to be lower, with the latest estimate coming in at 4.243 million acres. In January oats area had been pegged at 4.374 million acres while in 2008 area totalled 4.345 million acres.

The area left as summerfallow in the spring of 2009 was estimated by AAFC at 6.042 million acres, which was unchanged from the January forecast but fractionally lower than the 2008 level of 6.069 million.

Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada’s 2009-10 seedings estimates, in millions of acres. Source: Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada.

2009-10 2009-10 2008-09
Crop March 6 January final
All wheat 23.227 23.895 25.009
Durum 4.942 5.609 6.030
Barley 9.353 9.674 9.357
Corn 3.084 3.109 2.975
Oats 4.243 4.374 4.345
Rye 0.410 0.410 0.340
Canola 17.235 16.803 16.159
Flax 1.693 1.556 1.560
Soybeans 3.212 3.212 2.954
Dry peas 3.707 3.706 3.996
Lentils 1.915 1.804 1.611
Mustard seed 0.519 0.519 0.479
Sunflower seed 0.178 0.178 0.170
Canaryseed 0.445 0.445 0.415
Chickpeas 0.143 0.210 0.131
Summerfallow 6.042 6.042 6.069

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