ICE November 2022 canola (candlesticks) with 20-day moving average (yellow line, right column) and NYMEX November 2022 West Texas intermediate crude (black line, left column). (Barchart)

ICE weekly outlook: Canola shouldn’t fall hard

Loonie keeping oilseed off sharper decline

MarketsFarm — As Malaysian palm oil futures tumbled to 20-year lows during the week of Sept. 26, they have put a lot of pressure on canola prices, analyst Errol Anderson of ProMarket Communications in Calgary said. However, he said, the Canadian dollar has been the backstop that kept the oilseed from falling with palm oil. […] Read more

ICE November 2022 canola (candlesticks) with Bollinger bands (20,2). (Barchart)

ICE weekly outlook: Seasonal upturn possible for canola

'Good underlying support' seen in futures

MarketsFarm — ICE Futures canola contracts may soon be due for a seasonal turn higher as harvest pressure subsides and prices should be looking very attractive to end users. However, uncertain outside influences will still dictate the overall direction. “The field certainly gets muddied by issues of geopolitics,” said MarketsFarm analyst Mike Jubinville, pointing to […] Read more


One thing you might want to consider when marketing your canola is the price of crude oil.

Will canola rally?

There’s room for canola prices to recover, but keep an eye on the war in Ukraine, transportation constraints, increasing crush capacity and the cost of crude oil in the coming months

Canola prices dipped after hitting record highs last spring, but could western Canadian producers see a price rally in the weeks ahead? MarketsFarm analyst Bruce Burnett says there’s a good chance prices will recover.  In an interview with Grainews in August, Burnett said virtually all commodities — including canola — experienced “a big, macro trade […] Read more

ICE November 2022 canola (candlesticks) with 100-day moving average (green line) and Bollinger bands (20,2). (Barchart)

ICE weekly outlook: Canola futures continue trending lower

MarketsFarm — ICE Futures canola contracts saw some choppy activity during the week ended Wednesday, but the general trend remains pointed lower. “Whenever canola rebounds, it doesn’t go as high,” analyst Errol Anderson of Pro Market Communications in Calgary said. Anderson described the chart pattern as a “falling top,” with previous attempts at recovery in […] Read more


ICE November 2022 canola (candlesticks) with Bollinger bands (20,2). (Barchart)

ICE weekly outlook: Canola trending lower

November down below $800

MarketsFarm — ICE Futures canola contracts moved lower during the week ended Wednesday and could be due for more weakness as seasonal harvest pressure picks up over the next few weeks. “That $800 level has been a very important price support point,” said David Derwin, commodities investment advisor with PI Financial in Winnipeg, pointing to […] Read more

One preparation for Harvest 2022 could be to get a drop pan system to measure combine losses. An electronic-release pan that connects to the underside of the combine is a simple though higher cost option. Another option is to have someone drop a plastic storage bin under the back of the combine as it drives by.

Deliver every canola seed at No. 1 grade

This Canola Council of Canada quiz can help you reach that goal

Everything done to produce a high-quality canola crop can be undone at harvest and in storage. One Canola Council of Canada (CCC) agronomy priority is to deliver every seed at No. 1 grade. That means giving all seeds time to mature, harvesting with minimal losses and storing canola without spoilage. For maximum yield, canola should […] Read more


The World Trade Organization (WTO) headquarters in Geneva, Switzerland on Oct. 28, 2020. (Photo: Reuters/Denis Balibouse)

Canada, China agree to suspend WTO canola dispute

Lifting of canola ban renders case moot

Berlin | Reuters — Canada and China have agreed to suspend proceedings against Chinese measures affecting the importation of Canadian canola seed, according to a World Trade Organization (WTO) complaint on Thursday. The WTO Dispute Settlement Body (DSB) panel suspended its work as of Tuesday, the complaint said. Work can be suspended at any time […] Read more

ICE Futures November 2022 canola (candlesticks) with Bollinger bands (20,2). (Barchart)

ICE weekly outlook: Crush margins guiding canola demand

MarketsFarm — Enormous canola crush margins will lead to increased demand for the Canadian oilseed, according to MarketsFarm’s director of markets and weather Bruce Burnett. As of Tuesday, the nearby November-October margins were estimated at $215.51 per tonne, while the same position for November-October 2023 now stands at $124.48/tonne. This time last year their margins […] Read more


ICE November 2022 canola (candlesticks) with Bollinger bands (20,2) and 100-day moving average (green line). (Barchart)

ICE weekly outlook: Time gap too large in StatCan report

Canola's potential yields shrank in meantime

MarketsFarm — There has been about a one-month gap in between Statistics Canada having gathered its data for next week’s principal crops report and actually releasing the report. That’s something trader Ken Ball of PI Financial in Winnipeg finds irksome. “They’re using computer models of some kind. You would think they could get this out […] Read more

ICE November 2022 canola (candlesticks, right column) with 20- and 50-day moving averages (yellow and green lines) and CBOT December 2022 soyoil (black line, left column). (Barchart)

ICE weekly outlook: Canola could take a nosedive

'I think (farmers) are undersold'

MarketsFarm — A huge drop in canola prices could be looming, according to analyst Wayne Palmer of Exceed Grain in Winnipeg. Palmer pointed to Prairie farmers and said, “I think they are undersold.” He surmised too many farmers have held off from selling their canola, in hopes of getting a great price the next time […] Read more