The stock market was a happy place in 2024, with the U.S. S&P 500 delivering a 25 per cent total return, including dividends. Even the laggardly Canadian TSX joined the party with a total return of 21.6 per cent. How did my 2024 predictions turn out compared to the pros, and what do I see […] Read more
A spectacular 2024 defied predictions, again
Investing for Fun and Profit: Also, my amateur investor market outlook for 2025
Wish not for a weak Canadian dollar
Investing for Fun and Profit: Weak currency is symptomatic of weak investing confidence in a country
There exists what I believe is a very common misconception that a weak currency is good for the economy. Statements by news media and politicians often parrot this theme because on a short-term basis, exports become cheaper for foreign buyers and imports more expensive for domestic purchasers, theoretically enhancing domestic production. However, what’s missing in […] Read more
Analysts’ target prices again miss the mark
Investing for Fun and Profit: I plan to continue to ignore those target prices when making decisions
Approximately a year ago a column titled “The value of target prices” studied analyst price targets on every TSX index stock with how the stock actually performed over the next year. Analyst target prices had been conveniently amalgamated in a Globe and Mail article. While I had never used target prices to make purchase or […] Read more
The cycles within economic cycles
Investing for Fun and Profit: The economic cycle, presidential cycle and stock market cycle are separate entities that interact
The S&P 500 — the market I’ll be referencing throughout this article — has been on a tear the past couple of years, leading many to wonder if the hot bull market can continue. It was up 26.3 per cent in 2023 and at time of writing is up about 23 per cent year-to-date. Let’s […] Read more
Is it best, when investing, to stay politically agnostic?
Investing for Fun and Profit: Besides, how much influence do governments really have on the markets?
I began this column the day after the great Harris/Trump debate. Based on the publishing schedule, you might be reading it just before the U.S. election. A lot can happen in both politics and the markets over a six-week period, but I thought it would be an appropriate time to review how politics may or […] Read more
Even in a weak economy, strong performers exist
Investing for Fun and Profit: We limit our exposure in some sectors, but ‘there’s more than one way to skin a cat’
The saying “There’s more than one way to skin a cat” probably dates back to medieval times when both domestic and wild cats were skinned for their fur. A literal interpretation would be rather repugnant in modern times, yet the saying persists to represent multiple ways to achieve a goal. Two issues ago, I bemoaned […] Read more
A brief history of market dominance
Investing for Fun and Profit: Is the publicly traded past a guide for the future?
The largest 10 U.S. companies by market capitalization (number of shares, multiplied by price per share) currently represent about 30 per cent of the value of the entire U.S. publicly traded universe, and the U.S represents about 60 of the world market cap. Therefore these 10 companies represent about 18 per cent of the entire […] Read more
Can Canada’s banks and telcos maintain as reliable performers?
Investing for Fun and Profit: Also includes an update on the latest status of the Titanium Strength Portfolio
This is my 100th column over the past six years for Grainews. I hope you’ve enjoyed the wit and wisdom, albeit limited, and that my musings helped your off-farm investing success. This is also the first column written following the May 15 anniversary of the Titanium Strength Portfolio (TSP). At its outset, the purpose was […] Read more
Energy reflections of our recent Vietnam vacation
Investing for Fun and Profit: In a country facing rapid growth and corresponding energy demand, every day is a smog day
Vietnam is a fascinating country, rich with culture and history. We also visited Cambodia and its renowned ancient temples, the most famous being Ankor Wat, a UNESCO world heritage site. This was my first time in Southeast Asia. The contrasts are ubiquitous, with modern vehicles sharing streets with rickshaws, modern skyscrapers neighbouring hovels, and elite […] Read more
How we choose highly profitable companies at reasonable valuations
Investing for Fun & Profit: It's both an art and a science -- but mostly science
In previous articles I’ve frequently mentioned the importance of selecting highly profitable companies at reasonable valuations. I’d like to illustrate with a real-life example of a switch I made in our tax-free savings accounts (TFSAs) at the start of the year. Our TFSA performance has lagged recently even though since inception they are still running […] Read more
Cyber-Savvy Farmer
