Pacific Ocean sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies, in degrees Celsius, for the week centred on April 5, 2023. (CPC.ncep.noaa.gov)

U.S. forecaster sees 62 per cent chance of El Nino developing during May-July

Argentina, parts of U.S. could benefit; Asian crops may not

Reuters — A U.S. weather forecaster on Thursday predicted a 62 per cent chance of the El Niño phenomenon developing in the Northern Hemisphere during May-July, and a strong chance toward end-year, likely compounding risks to crops across the globe. “The coastal warming in the eastern Pacific may foreshadow changes across the Pacific basin. Therefore, […] Read more

CBOT May 2023 corn with 20-day moving average (green line) and July 2023 corn (orange line). (Barchart)

U.S. grains: Chicago grains close lower as weather improves

USDA reports flash corn sale to China

Mexico City | Reuters — Chicago grains futures reversed earlier gains to close lower on Thursday, as weather improved and despite Russia saying there would likely be no extension of the wartime grains corridor deal, analysts said. Soybeans lost ground from their earlier rally as weather in the Northern Hemisphere looked clearer. “U.S. weather is […] Read more


An aerial file photo of flooding in the Red River Valley near Rosenort, Man. in May 2022. (Manitoba Co-operator photo by Allan Dawson)

CBOT weekly outlook: Weather in focus for Chicago grains, oilseeds

Heavy snowpack remains in parts of northern Plains

MarketsFarm — All eyes in the Chicago grain and oilseed markets are focused on weather conditions as the South American harvest progresses and North American farmers begin seeding their next crop. The U.S. Department of Agriculture’s monthly supply/demand report (WASDE), released Tuesday, left ending stocks projections for both soybeans and corn in the country unchanged […] Read more

File photo of a pea crop south of Ethelton, Sask. on Aug. 1, 2019. (Dave Bedard photo)

Pulse weekly outlook: Slow start to Saskatchewan spring

Timely pulse seeding still expected

MarketsFarm — While below-normal temperatures have welcomed the start of spring, pulse seeding in Saskatchewan is expected to start on time in 2023 if the weather co-operates. “We’ve had a slow start to spring,” said Saskatchewan Pulse Growers (SaskPulse) executive director Carl Potts. “It’s still a bit of time before seeding would normally start across […] Read more


CBOT May 2023 corn with 20-, 50- and 100-day moving averages. (Barchart)

U.S. grains: Chicago futures lower on U.S. weather outlooks

Traders keep eye on warming trend for northern states

Mexico City | Reuters — Chicago corn futures closed lower on Wednesday after a day of ups and downs on improved weather outlooks for planting season in the U.S. and market readjustments from technically oversold positions, traders said. The prospect of a drier, warmer spell boosting spring field work in the northern farm belt that […] Read more

(Fentino/E+/Getty Images)

Carbon price exemption for farm gas clears Commons

Bill C-234 next headed to Senate

Legislative amendments that would exempt farmers’ eligible purchases of natural gas and propane from federal carbon pricing are now en route to Canada’s Senate. Bill C-234, a private member’s bill sponsored by Ben Lobb, the Conservative MP for the southern Ontario riding of Huron-Bruce, passed third reading for adoption in the House of Commons on […] Read more


File photo of black beans. (Nhattienphoto/iStock/Getty Images)

Pulse weekly outlook: For growers, spring still far away

Just 'minor changes' expected in Manitoba acres

MarketsFarm — Springtime still seems distant for southern Manitoba as snow remains and freezing temperatures persist. However, provincial pulse specialist Dennis Lange said current conditions are setting up well for seeding after temperatures rise and snow melts. “We’re still a little ways off. There are still snow drifts in the fields in most areas of […] Read more

The U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s spring 2023 flood outlook, issued March 16 and covering the spring period through May, calls for risk of “moderate to major” flooding along the Mississippi River from Minneapolis to St. Louis, but also shows “moderate” flood risk along the Red River, which forms the North Dakota-Minnesota state line and flows northward into Lake Winnipeg. (NOAA)

Manitoba’s Red River Valley at major risk for flooding

Province's March flood outlook report cites U.S. storms as reason

Manitoba has significantly raised the risk of spring flooding in its Red River Valley, follow “recent precipitation events south of the border.” Manitoba Transportation and Infrastructure’s Hydrologic Forecast Centre on Wednesday projected a major risk of flooding on the Red River and low to moderate risk of flooding in most Manitoba basins in its March […] Read more


Pacific Ocean sea surface temperatures in degrees Celsius for the week centred on March 15, 2023. (CPC.ncep.noaa.gov)

No big changes in current weather patterns

Potential for some precipitation in early April

MarketsFarm — With spring officially underway, don’t expect a lot of major changes in the current weather patterns across the Canadian Prairies and the U.S. northern Plains, according to Drew Lerner of World Weather Inc. at Overland Park, Kansas. “For the rest of March, it’s status quo, it will stay cold. We’re not going to […] Read more

File photo of fresh palm fruits and palm oil. (Slpu9945/iStock/Getty Images)

USDA’s Indonesia desk predicts increased palm oil production

An El Nino event could weigh on that outlook

MarketsFarm — Indonesia, the world’s largest producer of palm oil, is forecast to see a three per cent rise in production in 2023-24, according to the U.S. Department of Agriculture’s Foreign Agricultural Service post in Jakarta. The country’s USDA post anticipates 46 million tonnes of palm oil production, which would be up from 44.7 during […] Read more


Upcoming events