As activity at the Chicago Board of Trade shifts into holiday mode through the New Year, independent analyst Terry Reilly pointed to three things to watch over the next few weeks.
Soybean futures at the Chicago Board of Trade climbed to their highest levels in a year-and-a-half on Nov. 18, as optimism over increasing sales to China provided support. However, more business will be needed to sustain the upward move, with traders uncertain whether the stated targets will be reached.
Regardless of the United States government shutdown ending soon or not, the Department of Agriculture is set to issue its supply and demand report on Nov. 14. The USDA cancelled its October edition of World Agriculture Supply and Demand Estimates due to the shutdown and pushed back their November report a few days.
Optimism over thawing trade relations between the United States and China gave soybean futures at the Chicago Board of Trade a boost during the week ended Oct. 29, with the advances in the soy market spilling into corn and wheat.
The United States grain and oilseed markets are currently dominated by two factors, said Ryan Ettner, broker with Allendale Inc. in McHenry, Ill. Ettner said those are the absence of a trade deal with China and the ongoing United States government shutdown.
Corn and soybean futures at the Chicago Board of Trade were showing some strength during the first week of October, despite seasonal harvest pressure keeping a lid on the upside.
Emotional trading was guiding activity at the United States commodity markets, said Ryan Ettner, broker with Allendale Inc. The McHenry, Ill.-based Ettner said that particularly held true for Chicago Board of Trade soybeans and corn to a lesser extent.