U.S. grains: Soybeans firm on exports, mixed harvest results

CBOT wheat eases after earlier gains; Russia's annexation plans in focus

Published: September 29, 2022

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CBOT November 2022 soybeans (candlesticks) with 20-, 50- and 100-day moving averages (yellow, green and black lines). (Barchart)

Chicago | Reuters — Chicago soybean futures inched higher on Thursday, supported by strong export sales after lower trade much of the week as harvest progresses across the U.S. Midwest, though some farmers report lower-than-anticipated yields, analysts said.

Corn and wheat eased ahead of Friday’s U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) quarterly U.S. grain stocks and annual small grains reports, pressured by a rising dollar and growing investor worries about an economic recession, though fears of more disruption to Black Sea trade underpinned both markets.

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The most-active soybean contract on the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) added two cents to $14.10-3/4 a bushel, after climbing to $14.23-3/4 earlier in the session (all figures US$).

CBOT corn eased one cent, to $6.69-1/2 a bushel, and wheat fell seven cents to $8.96-1/4 cents a bushel.

Ideal harvest weather this week in much of the U.S. Midwest is expected to show strong harvest progress when the U.S. Agriculture Department updates its crop progress report next Monday afternoon, though soybean yields are varied, said Mark Schultz, chief analyst at Northstar Commodity.

“Seventy per cent of the guys in Minnesota are five-10 bushels less than last year. Most will be close to half done by Saturday,” he said. “We have guys in northwest Iowa that are done. They went nine bushels less than last year.”

Soybeans were supported by stronger-than-expected weekly export sales of 973,000 tonnes of the oilseed during the week ended Sept. 22, besting analyst predictions of 250,000 to 850,000 tonnes.

Corn sales of 672,100 tonnes and wheat sales of 250,100 tonnes were in line with trade forecasts.

Russia is poised to annex a swath of Ukraine after what Kyiv and the West denounced as illegal sham referendums in occupied territory, while the European Union investigated a leak from Russian gas pipelines it believes was due to sabotage, fuelling doubts about whether a U.N.-supervised shipping corridor for Ukrainian grain will last.

“Russia and Ukraine have good crops,” said Jeff French, owner of Ag Hedgers. “It’s the reliability of actually being able to export it.”

— Reporting for Reuters by Christopher Walljasper in Chicago; additional reporting by Gus Trompiz in Paris and Naveen Thukral in Singapore.

About the author

Christopher Walljasper

Christopher Walljasper reports on agriculture and ag commodities for Reuters from Chicago.

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