The U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s spring 2023 flood outlook, issued March 16 and covering the spring period through May, calls for risk of “moderate to major” flooding along the Mississippi River from Minneapolis to St. Louis, but also shows “moderate” flood risk along the Red River, which forms the North Dakota-Minnesota state line and flows northward into Lake Winnipeg. (NOAA)

Manitoba’s Red River Valley at major risk for flooding

Province's March flood outlook report cites U.S. storms as reason

Manitoba has significantly raised the risk of spring flooding in its Red River Valley, follow “recent precipitation events south of the border.” Manitoba Transportation and Infrastructure’s Hydrologic Forecast Centre on Wednesday projected a major risk of flooding on the Red River and low to moderate risk of flooding in most Manitoba basins in its March […] Read more

CBOT May 2023 corn with 20-, 50- and 100-day moving averages. (Barchart)

U.S. grains: Chicago corn turns higher

CBOT soy, wheat fall on long liquidation

Mexico City | Reuters — Chicago corn futures turned higher Wednesday, and wheat and soy closed down, as technical trading and investor unease about the economy roiled agricultural commodity markets. Investors scrambled to liquidate long positions, traders said, even before the Federal Reserve raised interest rates by a quarter of a percentage point and indicated […] Read more


Pacific Ocean sea surface temperatures in degrees Celsius for the week centred on March 15, 2023. (CPC.ncep.noaa.gov)

No big changes in current weather patterns

Potential for some precipitation in early April

MarketsFarm — With spring officially underway, don’t expect a lot of major changes in the current weather patterns across the Canadian Prairies and the U.S. northern Plains, according to Drew Lerner of World Weather Inc. at Overland Park, Kansas. “For the rest of March, it’s status quo, it will stay cold. We’re not going to […] Read more

Commercial vessels  –including vessels which are part of the Black Sea grain deal — wait to pass the Bosphorus strait off the shores of Yenikapi during a misty morning in Istanbul, Turkey on Oct. 31, 2022. (Photo: Reuters/Umit Bektas)

U.S. pushes back against Russian demands linked to Ukraine grain deal

Russian food, fertilizer already carved out from sanctions, U.S. says

United Nations | Reuters — The United States pushed back on Russian demands that Western sanctions be eased before it allows Ukrainian Black Sea grain exports beyond mid-May, saying there were no restrictions on Russian agricultural products or fertilizer. Moscow’s demands include allowing the Russian Agricultural Bank to return to the SWIFT banking system and […] Read more


CBOT May 2023 soybeans with Bollinger bands (20,2). (Barchart)

U.S. grains: Chicago soy closes lower

Brazil production, Fed in focus for soy; wheat, corn still capped by Black Sea deal extension

Reuters — Chicago soy futures reversed gains to close lower on Tuesday, pushed down by rising estimates of Brazilian production, while corn and wheat dipped as markets kept a cautious eye on an expected Federal Reserve rate hike. Wheat and corn continue to be capped by the extension of a Black Sea export corridor from […] Read more

File photo of a CN locomotive. (Dave Bedard photo)

CN, mechanics avert strike with tentative deal

Ratification votes pending

Canadian National Railway and the union representing its mechanics and intermodal and clerical workers have reached a tentative labour deal, averting a potential strike. CN, Unifor Local 100 and Unifor Council 4000 on Monday announced they have reached four new tentative collective agreements to cover about 3,000 railway employees, who had voted earlier this month […] Read more


CBOT May 2023 soybeans with 20-, 50- and 100-day moving averages. (Barchart)

U.S. grains: Soy closes higher on rising crude oil, stocks values

Ukraine Black Sea grain deal extended for at least 60 days

Mexico City | Reuters — Chicago Board of Trade soy futures rallied from a three-month low to close higher on Monday, catching a tailwind from U.S. stocks reassured by the announcement that UBS agreed to buy battered rival Credit Suisse, analysts said. Gains in oil prices also pushed up soybeans, which are used in ethanol […] Read more

Vessels are seen as they await inspection under the Black Sea Grain Initiative, brokered by the UN and Turkey, in the southern anchorage of the Bosphorus at Istanbul on Dec. 11, 2022. (File photo: Reuters/Yoruk Isik)

Ukraine Black Sea grain deal extended for at least 60 days

UN, Turkey not yet specifying extension's duration

Ankara/United Nations | Reuters — A deal allowing the safe Black Sea export of Ukrainian grain was renewed on Saturday for at least 60 days — half the intended period — after Russia warned any further extension beyond mid-May would depend on the removal of some Western sanctions. The pact was brokered with Russia and […] Read more


CBOT May 2023 soft red winter wheat with 20-day moving average, MGEX May 2023 hard red spring wheat (yellow line) and K.C. May 2023 hard red winter wheat (orange line). (Barchart)

U.S. grains: Chicago grains end week higher on export demand, Black Sea jitters

Soy pushed down for fifth consecutive week

Chicago | Reuters — Chicago wheat and corn futures posted weekly gains for the first time in five weeks, ending stronger on Friday on high demand for U.S. corn exports and market jitters over the extension of a wartime Black Sea grain deal. Chicago Board of Trade May soft red winter wheat settled up 11-1/2 […] Read more

Barley. (Photo courtesy Canada Beef Inc.)

Feed weekly outlook: Grains wait for demand to pick up

Trucking availability still seen as an issue, but less of one

MarketsFarm — As feed barley continued to sit in a lull, there have been some increases in feed wheat, according to Brandon Motz of CorNine Commodities at Lacombe, Alta. “There’s a little of downward pressure on barley,” Motz said, noting demand for it is expected to soon pick up. Feed wheat prices have increased recently, […] Read more