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Prairie forecast: Midwinter cold settles in

Forecast issued February 5, covering Feb. 5 to Feb. 12, 2025

We start this forecast period off with plenty of cold air in place, which is a 180-degree change from a week ago. Saskatchewan and Manitoba will also have to deal with a disturbance on Wednesday and Thursday that may bring upwards of 15 cm of fluffy snow.

Photo: Geralyn Wichers

Prairie forecast: Weekend low to bring snow to swaths of the Prairies

Forecast issued January 29, covering Jan. 29 to Feb. 5, 2025

We start this forecast period off with plenty of warm air in place across much of the Prairies. We continue to see areas of low pressure dropping southeastward from the western territories into northwestern Ontario with high pressure still in place across the northwestern U.S. and southwestern Canada.


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Prairie forecast: Warm west, cooler east

This forecast period starts with the last of the bitterly cold air departing Manitoba thanks to a weak area of low pressure that moved through on Wednesday. This low, combined with an area of high pressure building over the northwestern U.S., helped to pull mild air in off the Pacific and push it eastwards across the Prairies.

oats

Cutting N on oats can pay off, if it’s drier

Potential gain in net revenue must be weighed against opportunity cost

Glacier FarmMedia — It’s possible to make more money from oats by reducing fertilizer rates, according to research done at four sites in Saskatchewan. But like most things in farming, a lot depends on the weather. Less nitrogen equalled more profits in trials done in 2023 because it was a dry growing season. “When you […] Read more


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Prairie forecast: Mild start replaced by Arctic high pressure

Forecast issued January 15, covering Jan. 15 to 22, 2025

We start this forecast period with an area of low-pressure sliding southeastwards through the southern Northwest Territories and into northern Manitoba. This low is pulling mild air northwards, which means a continuation of mild temperatures in Alberta, while Saskatchewan and Manitoba are seeing a rapid rebound from the cold start to the week.

snow in the field

Prairie forecast: Battle between warm and cold

Forecast issued January 8, covering January 8 to 15, 2025

For this forecast period, the weather models have been bouncing back and forth between a return to cold weather after a brief mid-week warmup or a return to the mild weather pattern we saw during much of December. The models have been slowly converging towards the milder solutions, but at this point confidence in the second half of this forecast period is low.


Snow depth on the Prairies, an important number for overwintering wheat crops, has decreased by four centimetres from 1948 to 2012.

Payoffs and pressures for cereals in a changing Prairie climate

Warmer, wetter, longer growing seasons carry risks as well as rewards

Cereal crops in Western Canada will be influenced by climate change in the coming years — but the impact will depend on both the crop and the primary area of Western Canada where it’s grown. Barley and oats are grown primarily in the cooler regions of the Prairies and will benefit from a longer growing […] Read more

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Prairie forecast: Colder weather moving in with the New Year

Forecast issued Dec. 31, covering Dec. 31 to January 8, 2025

For this forecast period, it looks like the quiet weather pattern will continue as the weather models are not showing any big storm systems impacting the Prairies. We should continue our slow cooldown with temperatures during most of this forecast period looking to be near to below average.


(Photo courtesy Canada Beef Inc.)

Prairie forecast: Mild, quiet holidays expected

Forecast issued Dec. 24, covering Dec. 24 to Dec. 31, 2024

The weather for this forecast period will be largely controlled by a large, stationary area of low pressure in the Gulf of Alaska. This has been sending wave after wave over energy into coastal B.C. This will result in a predominately west to southwesterly flow across the Prairies—meaning a continuation of mild temperatures as Pacific air dominates.

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Prairie forecast: Cold start, but then turning mild

Forecast issued Dec. 18, covering Dec. 18 to 25, 2024

To start this forecast period, we have a strong area of Arctic high pressure dropping southeastwards behind the area of low pressure that hit the eastern Prairies earlier in the week. This high will bring a quick shot of cold weather to Saskatchewan and Manitoba from Wednesday to Friday.