Canola prices at the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) were on the rise for most of the week ended Aug. 28, until the release of Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) production estimates for the 2024-25 crop year on Aug. 28.
While the general direction for soybeans and corn on the Chicago Board of Trade is to continue moving lower, United States wheat was on the rise and is to remain so in the coming weeks, according to a trader.
Statistics Canada’s production estimates in its principal field crops report issued Aug. 28, came in better than expected according to MarketsFarm analyst Mike Jubinville. While Jubinville thought StatCan might peg the 2024/25 canola crop at around 20 million tonnes, the federal agency placed their call at 19.50 million, while a poll by Reuters expected 19.20 million.
There appears to be very little credibility that will be given to Statistics Canada’s principal field crop report to be issued on Wednesday. The concerns among analysts and brokers include the timing of the report and the use of satellite imagery.
Days before Statistics Canada presents its monthly principal field crop estimates, Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada (AAFC) released its estimates on Aug. 20, showing some changes to grains from the month before.
With the peas harvest in Alberta about a month away, prices have been beginning to slip back according to Kyle Sinclair, chief executive officer for Producer Profit in Lacombe, Alta.
Farmers in the United States planted considerably more pulse crops in 2024 than originally projected, according to updated acreage data from the U.S. Department of Agriculture released June 28.
Canadian farmers planted more canola and less wheat than originally intended, according to updated acreage estimates from Statistics Canada, released June 27.
Changes varied in the amount of oilseeds crushed and grains delivered in Canada during the month of May compared to one year ago, according to Statistics Canada (StatCan).