U.S. livestock: Hog, cattle futures up on broad commodities rally

Lower-than-expected inflation data provides boost

Published: August 11, 2022

, ,

CME October 2022 lean hogs (candlesticks) with 20-, 50- and 100-day moving averages (pink, brown and dark red lines). (Barchart)

Chicago | Reuters — Chicago Mercantile Exchange lean hog futures rose on Wednesday, with the October contract hitting a life-of-contract high on brisk pork demand and broad strength in commodities on signs of decelerating U.S. inflation, traders said.

Livestock and other commodities rose along with Wall Street equity markets as lower-than-expected U.S. inflation data drove investors into riskier assets.

“There was a general theme of buying commodities today,” said Dan Norcini, an independent livestock trader.

CME August lean hogs settled up 0.05 cent at 122.25 cents/lb. while benchmark October jumped 1.25 cents to end at 100.85 cents, after reaching a contract top at 101 cents (all figures US$).

Read Also

U.S. livestock: Hog, cattle futures up on broad commodities rally

U.S. livestock: Cattle futures come down from highs

Cattle futures on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange were weaker on Monday, coming down from recent highs.

Traders see the October hogs contract as under-priced relative to the August, which expires next week, given firm wholesale pork prices and persistent strength in the cash hog market.

“The October is at a huge discount to the August. Some traders look at that and say, if the product (wholesale pork) is holding up as well as it is, then October is too cheap,” Norcini said.

Wholesale pork prices have inched lower in recent days but remain near their highs for 2022. The U.S. Department of Agriculture priced pork carcasses at $123.67 per hundredweight (cwt) on Wednesday afternoon, down 18 cents from Tuesday and down from $131.02 on Aug. 2, a 13-1/2 month top.

“Prices are weakening but they are not falling apart,” Norcini said.

In cattle markets, CME futures rose on speculative buying and optimism about rising cash prices for market-ready cattle. Fat cattle traded in Kansas at $139/cwt, traders said, up $3 from last week, a possible sign of tightening cattle supplies in southern Plains feedlots.

CME August live cattle futures settled up 1.225 cents at 139.2 cents/lb., while most-active October rose 1.3 cents at 144.475 cents. September feeder cattle futures finished up 2.5 cents at 185 cents/lb.

Cattle supplies are expected to tighten later this year and into next year and beef production in the fourth quarter is forecast to be down sharply from a year earlier.

— Julie Ingwersen is a Reuters commodities correspondent in Chicago.

About the author

Julie Ingwersen

Julie Ingwersen is a Reuters commodities correspondent in Chicago.

explore

Stories from our other publications