U.S. livestock: CME live cattle touch six-month low on big supply

Published: March 26, 2018

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(Photo courtesy Canada Beef Inc.)

Chicago | Reuters — Chicago Mercantile Exchange live cattle tumbled to a six-month low on Monday as a glut of animals at U.S. feedlots fueled concerns about plentiful beef supplies into the fall, traders said.

The U.S. Department of Agriculture reported after Friday’s market close that ranchers had placed 7.3 per cent more cattle in U.S. feedlots in February compared with a year ago, well above trade estimates for a 4.2 per cent gain. March 1 feedlot supplies were up 8.8 per cent from a year earlier, also above expectations.

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“We’ve had a few years of the rebuilding process since we decimated the herd size. There’s just a ton of production and feedlots are full,” said Tim Hackbarth, risk management specialist at Top Third Ag Marketing in Chicago.

Packer margins remain profitable and the cattle slaughter is likely to remain large, despite a holiday-shortened work week this week due to the Easter holiday, he said.

CME April live cattle closed 0.875 cent/lb. lower at 115.175 cents, and June ended 0.9 cent lower at 105.3 cents (all figures US$).

Packer margins narrowed to $46 per head on Monday, from $59.45 on Friday and $54.70 a week ago, according to Denver-based livestock marketing advisory service HedgersEdge.com LLC.

Wholesale boxed beef prices for choice cuts shed 56 cents, to $222.53/cwt, on Monday while select cuts fell 94 cents, to $215.46.

Feeder cattle futures tracked live cattle contracts lower, with March ending down 0.775 cent/lb. at 134.925 cents and April off 1.6 cents at 134.5 cents.

Hogs retreat

CME lean hogs advanced in early trading in a bargain-buying bounce from Friday’s sharp declines, but ended mostly lower as that support faded amid large supplies of hogs.

Traders also remain concerned about a slowdown in export demand on simmering trade tensions between the U.S. and China.

April hogs closed down 0.4 cent/lb. at 58.025 cents, May finished up 0.25 cent at 65.25 cents, and actively traded June was down 0.05 cent at 74.1 cents.

Hog traders are looking to Thursday’s quarterly USDA hogs and pigs report which is expected to show a 3.1 per cent year-over-year increase in the U.S. hog inventory on March 1.

— Karl Plume reports on agriculture and agribusiness for Reuters from Chicago.

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