U.S. livestock: CME cattle futures sag on long liquidation, rising grains

Hogs end mixed as traders' net long position shrinks

Published: January 18, 2023

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CME March 2023 feeder cattle with 20-, 50- and 100-day moving averages. (Barchart)

Chicago | Reuters — Chicago Mercantile Exchange live cattle futures fell on Tuesday, on spillover weakness from feeder cattle futures and long liquidation as market players responded to a hefty net long position held by commodity funds, analysts said.

CME February live cattle settled down 0.725 cent at 157 cents/lb. and April futures fell 0.8 cent, to 160.1 cents (all figures US$).

March feeder cattle futures tumbled 1.575 cents to finish at 181.3 cents/lb., pressured by rising costs for corn, the main U.S. cattle feed grain. Chicago Board of Trade March corn hit a two-month top on follow-through strength from last week’s bullish U.S. government supply/demand reports.

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“Any time you get the grain market moving higher like this, I think you are going to get a weaker cattle market, and to some extent, the hog market as well,” said Sherman Newlin, an analyst with Risk Management Commodities.

Others attributed the selling to fund-driven long liquidation. Data from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on Friday showed that managed funds expanded their net long position in live cattle futures to nearly 92,000 contracts in the week to Jan. 10, the largest since May 2019, leaving the market prone to bouts of long liquidation.

In the hog market, CME lean hog futures closed mixed. The spot February contract ended down 0.2 cent at 78.45 cents/lb. while April futures rose 0.85 cent to settle at 88.125 cents/lb. Deferred contracts ended higher as well.

In contrast to cattle, CFTC’s report showed managed funds slashed their net long position in CME lean hog futures by 57 per cent in the week to Jan. 10, to 21,437 contracts, priming the market for a bounce.

Wholesale pork prices fell. The U.S. Department of Agriculture said the pork cutout dipped to $77.44 per hundredweight (cwt) on Tuesday, down $3.15 from Monday and the lowest in two years.

— Julie Ingwersen is a Reuters commodities correspondent in Chicago.

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Julie Ingwersen

Julie Ingwersen is a Reuters commodities correspondent in Chicago.

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