U.S. grains: Corn, soy futures rise on crop concerns

Wheat sags from one-month peak

CBOT December 2020 corn with Bollinger (20,2) bands. (Barchart)

Chicago | Reuters — U.S. corn and soybean futures rose on Monday on expectations that a government report will show crop ratings deteriorated in the past week, underpinning recent forecasts that pegged the harvest below the U.S. Agriculture Department’s latest outlook.

A spate of dryness across the U.S. Midwest, combined with a severe wind storm that damaged crops across key parts of Iowa, have reduced crop potential following near-perfect conditions through July.

“Rains are due this upcoming weekend, but that should be too late for ear fill on the corn, and most agronomists are saying that damage has been done to beans, so rains in a week will just stabilize the crop,” Charlie Sernatinger, global head of grain futures at ED+F Man Capital, said in a note.

Wheat futures dropped, retreating from a one-month peak hit during the overnight trading session, on profit-taking after a seven-session streak of higher closes and bearish harvest outlooks.

“I think it is back to reality on the wheat,” said Don Roose of U.S. Commodities in West Des Moines, Iowa. “The Russian wheat yields are bigger. The Canadian crop looks large and Australia is getting some rain. The fundamentals finally caught up with the market.”

Chicago Board of Trade December corn futures settled up 4-1/2 cents, at $3.45 a bushel (all figures US$). CBOT November soybeans gained one cent, to $9.05-3/4 a bushel.

Advisory service Pro Farmer on Friday projected U.S. corn and soybean harvests will be below the U.S. government’s forecasts, with a corn crop of 14.82 billion bushels and a soybean crop of 4.362 billion bushels.

USDA will release its weekly crop progress and condition report on Monday at 3 p.m. CT.

CBOT December wheat futures ended down 7-1/4 cents at $5.27-3/4 a bushel.

— Reporting for Reuters by Mark Weinraub in Chicago; additional reporting by Naveen Thukral in Singapore and Sybille de La Hamaide in Paris.

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