New opportunities likely for low-grade malt barley

Markets may be brewing for class of "fair average quality"

Feb 11, 2012 12:01 AM - 5 comments
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By: Phil Franz-Warkentin
Commodity News Service Canada

The sharp distinction between malt and feed barley is starting to get a little muddy on the Prairies, with a third class of barley expected to create more opportunities for farmers under the new open market.

Traditionally, about 20 per cent of the barley grown in Western Canada in any given year would hit the malt specifications, and everything else would be relegated to the feed market. However, increasing demand for lower-quality malt barley from China and other countries, along with the looming end of the Canadian Wheat Board's single-desk approach to marketing the crop, should open the door for a new class of barley.

Often referred to as "fair average quality," this is malt barley that may not meet the top-end specs, but can still be used to make beer.

"It's always been a black and white scenario, where you either have malt or you have feed," said barley broker Rod Green of Central Ag Marketing at Airdrie, Alta., noting that the concern over not meeting malt specifications has hurt barley acres.

While malt barley is a profitable cropping option in Western Canada, he noted, feed barley does not pencil out as well. As a result, the possibility of premiums for lower-quality malt barley, that would have gone to feed channels in the past, will allow farmers to have more confidence when seeding.

In order to be sold as "fair average quality" malt barley, the germination still needs to be 95 per cent, but other factors, such as protein levels, are not as important, said Green.

He could not speculate on the potential price opportunities, but said the market for "fair average quality" barley will likely fall somewhere between feed and malt values.

Different companies will have different specs, he said. "If you fall within those specs you'll get a certain price, and if you fall into the next area you'll get a certain price, and eventually you'll get feed."

"Not as discriminating"

Grain companies and maltsters in Western Canada are already working toward having a "fair average quality" class of barley, as the Chinese market has been buying lower-quality malt barley from Australia for several years, said Green.

The looming end of the CWB single desk at the start of the 2012-13 crop year on Aug. 1 is helping speed up the move toward more "fair average quality" barley, said Green. Additional players in the export market, he noted, will mean those demand niches that may have been overlooked by the CWB in the past will now be filled by the commercial trade.

"Australia recognized there was a market for 'fair average quality' medium-range malt quality barley five years ago," said Warner, Alta. farmer Brian Otto, president of the Western Barley Growers Association.

Malt companies in China and other areas, he said, were "not as discriminating for quality as malt plants in North America or Europe."

Canadian barley is recognized for its quality in the world market, said Otto, but the additional market for lower-quality malt barley will help create additional revenue for producers.

While it may not happen overnight, he estimated that the "fair average quality" malt barley would allow the amount of the Canadian crop accepted for malting to increase by at least a million tonnes, from the current average of 2.1 million tonnes.

Annual Canadian barley production (both malt and feed) has declined in recent years, with only about 7.7 million tonnes grown in 2011-12. Otto predicted that number could increase back to the 12 million-tonne level under an open market, as the lack of the CWB single desk and increased competition will allow international market signals to find their way back to the farm in a more transparent manner.

Demand for special varieties from craft brewers and the declining U.S. barley area will also create need for more barley acres, he added.

"More eyes are better for specialty markets," added Errol Anderson of ProMarket Communications in Calgary, noting that the increased competition in the malt market will be beneficial for barley growers.



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Reader Comments

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Sask farmer

I think a low grade malt barley is a terrible idea. As a grower of both feed and malt barley I do not like the idea of a low grade malt class, all that will do is reduce the need for high quality malt thus dropping the price of both malt classes. As there is not much price difference between feed and malt already it will reduce barley acres even further because of the very low return. Without a certain amount of acres to guarantee barley for the maltsters they will shut their doors or shop elsewhere causing even less demand and lower price. Hopefully with a farmer being able to market his own barley it will bring an increase in acres and bring in needed investment in the malting industry but having a high and low malt class will eventually hurt prices.

Posted February 22, 2012 10:27 PM


australian barley grower

the price for malt barley over feed this year by the time we started harvest in southern parts of Victoria were 5 dollars a tonne and for the last 6 weeks you can get more for feed barley if you deliver it direct to port. So we wish you well in Canda in your new deregulated market.

Posted February 13, 2012 09:21 PM


Colin

Feed prices aren't going to double again, and it isn't going to kill the cattle industry. Feed barley prices are high now and the cattle industry is making more money than they have in the last decade. Ethanol is great for cattle, DDGs still contain all the protein that the grain did in the first place, and cattle can get energy from grass/ hay. The industry will adapt and use a least cost ration and be just fine. Enough of this attitude that someone has to do badly or have low prices for someone else to benefit. Pass it on like every other industry. We pay less for food as a % of income than other countries, we can afford some higher priced groceries.

Posted February 13, 2012 09:53 AM


Dwayne

With elevator companys starting to buy more feed barley to export they say and now a mid grade malt barley to hit the market for export and increase in ethanol production from 5 to 10%, increasing the demand for wheat acres the canadian livestock industry is in big trouble. Feed grain prices have doubled in 2 years and expect them to double again closing feedlots and packers because Canadians can't afford to pay for the end product in the stores.

Posted February 13, 2012 09:19 AM


aafisher

faq premiums will vanish as big crops return!

Posted February 11, 2012 04:08 PM


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